The same property investing mistake made by smart people
On the surface, this train of thought seems pretty
reasonable based on some basic facts about the current property market:
- Generally speaking, housing price in Sabah has been increasing since 2009.
- It just keeps going up, reaching a sky-high level.
- It can't go up forever.
A rational decision-making process would take true facts
about the market into consideration. The problem, however, is when you throw in
one final statement to that list: "It's going to crash soon." After
all, it's pretty reasonable to think "what goes up must come down".
Let’s be absolutely clear - this is not a fact. The belief
or assertion that the property market will crash in the foreseeable future is nothing
more than a belief. To be more accurate, it's merely a speculation.
No one has the crystal ball and be able to predict what the property
market will do next. It's worth repeating: anyone who thinks they can do it is
speculating, guessing, or forecasting.
By definition, if there is a bubble, it will eventually burst. If it doesn't burst, then it wasn't a bubble at all. The point is that we don't know exactly when the
bubble is going to burst. The fear that "eventually" means
"tomorrow" keeps many from taking action to invest in property
market.
What happens when in fact there isn’t any bubble at all? If
that's the case, aversion to loss prevents people from simply taking the cash
they have sitting on the sidelines and investing it into the property market,
and potentially incurring massive opportunity costs because of missing years of
potential market growth. When they eventually do buy in, they will be buying at
an even bigger peak than they thought they were avoiding.
Disclaimer: Information provided in this article is general in nature and does not take into consideration your personal financial situation. It is for educational purposes only and does not constitute personal financial advice. Remember, the value of any investment can go down as well as up. Before acting on any information to make investments or acquire or dispose of financial products, you should consider seeking independent financial advice that is tailored to your needs.
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